Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.348112 0.376449 0.406896 0.442193 0.482179 0.526300 0.578980
2024-12-29 0.288463 0.328765 0.375647 0.434967 0.509145 0.600416 0.723813
2025-01-05 0.244618 0.289269 0.344259 0.418583 0.519114 0.654730 0.859975
2025-01-12 0.211517 0.256759 0.314819 0.397263 0.515811 0.688245 0.976203
2025-01-19 0.187569 0.232312 0.291604 0.379182 0.511640 0.717208 1.092657
2025-01-26 0.176413 0.223092 0.287063 0.385641 0.543323 0.807031 1.344404
2025-02-02 0.171042 0.220874 0.291542 0.405369 0.598791 0.950803 1.770048
2025-02-09 0.161917 0.212296 0.285556 0.407550 0.624803 1.048204 2.154440
2025-02-16 0.151487 0.200846 0.273968 0.398817 0.629323 1.103752 2.471049
2025-02-23 0.144333 0.193611 0.268060 0.398632 0.649435 1.198574 2.979916
2025-03-02 0.136611 0.184918 0.259024 0.391780 0.655046 1.261938 3.448666
2025-03-09 0.129608 0.176838 0.250276 0.384350 0.658055 1.320128 3.967850
2025-03-16 0.122377 0.168263 0.240556 0.375028 0.657641 1.376027 4.597099
2025-03-23 0.118693 0.165106 0.239704 0.382512 0.696678 1.562578 6.325496
2025-03-30 0.112546 0.157653 0.231033 0.374006 0.697669 1.637933 7.628847
2025-04-06 0.105673 0.148651 0.219078 0.357784 0.677388 1.637319 8.396187
2025-04-13 0.099590 0.140626 0.208319 0.342951 0.658254 1.635263 9.230048
2025-04-20 0.097206 0.138518 0.207762 0.348802 0.692673 1.846513 13.729763
2025-04-27 0.096595 0.139284 0.212337 0.365913 0.761425 2.249465 27.606009
2025-05-04 0.093908 0.136385 0.210004 0.367837 0.788730 2.498856 47.771703
2025-05-11 0.090190 0.131537 0.203736 0.360337 0.786820 2.604970 70.326267
2025-05-18 0.087654 0.128596 0.200849 0.360184 0.807497 2.856392 151.405579
2025-05-25 0.084588 0.124592 0.195697 0.354280 0.808923 3.001160 316.156308